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    Non-point source inorganic pollution was modelled with global 1 km2 impervious surface area data (http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/dmsp/) under the assumption that most of this pollution comes from urban runoff. These data will not capture point-sources of pollution or nonpoint sources where paved roads do not exist (e.g., select places in developing countries). These values were then aggregated to the watershed and distributed to the pour point (i.e., stream and river mouths) for the watershed with raster statistics (i.e., aggregation by watershed). Finally, spread of the driver values into coastal waters at each pour point was modelled with a cost-path surface on the basis of a decay function that assigns a fixed amount of the driver (0.5% of the value in the previous cell) in the initial cell and then evenly distributes the remaining amount of driver in all adjacent and ‘unvisited’ cells, repeated until a minimum threshold (0.05% of global maximum) is reached. This approach to modelling river plumes is diffusive and so allows drivers to wrap around headlands and islands. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

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    Vessel identity and location information was obtained using two approaches. (1) Over the past 20 years, 10-20% of the vessel fleet has voluntarily participated in collecting meteorological data for the open ocean, which includes location at the time of measurement, as part of the Volunteer Observing System (VOS). (2) In order to improve maritime safety, in 2002 the International Maritime Organization SOLAS agreement required all vessels over 300 gross tonnage (GT) and vessels carrying passengers to equip Automatic Identification System (AIS) transceivers, which use the Global Positioning System (GPS) to precisely locate vessels. A single year sample of the VOS data was used for analysis. These data ignores vessel type, and included observations from only 12% of the vessel fleet. The ships included are a spatially- and statistically-biased sample of the population, making the modelled results somewhat misleading. Data have limited observation frequency, leading to gaps that when directly interpolated with geodesic paths, create invalid routes which cross land masses. Routing model was used to create a visibility graph of the oceans, creating valid potential movement paths. These movement paths are based on the assumption that mariners will prefer great circle distances when possible.Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

  • Changes in CO2 concentration alter the aragonite saturation state (ASS) of the ocean, among other chemical properties of seawater, and as ASS levels drop the ability of calcifying species such as corals and shelled invertebrates to create calcium carbonate structures declines (S22). The global distribution of ASS values has been modeled at 1- degree resolution for pre-industrial (circa 1870) and modern times (2000-2009) (S23). KNB used the difference between these values as an estimate of the human-derived driver of changes in ocean acidification. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

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    Pesticides were used as a proxy measure for organic pollution. Input data are from 2007-2010 FAO statistics, the most recent available. Missing pesticide values were filled using a linear regression model of pesticides as a function of fertilizers (gaps: N=69; regression: R2 = 0.72) when fertilizer data were available or agricultural GDP (gaps: N=22; regression: R2 = 0.82) when not. These country-level average pesticides values were then dasymetrically distributed over a country’s landscape using global land cover data from 2009, derived from the Moderate Resolution imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument at ~500m resolution. Finally, spread of the driver values into coastal waters at each pour point was modelled with a cost-path surface on the basis of a decay function that assigns a fixed amount of the driver (0.5% of the value in the previous cell) in the initial cell and then evenly distributes the remaining amount of driver in all adjacent and ‘unvisited’ cells, repeated until a minimum threshold (0.05% of global maximum) is reached. This approach to modelling river plumes is diffusive and so allows drivers to wrap around headlands and islands. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

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    This data layer combines estimates of pollution coming from commercial shipping and from ports. As such, it is a combination of the shipping and port volume data layers, with the port volume data plumed to estimate pollution from commercial ports (with exponential decline in intensity from the port). Ocean-based pollution is assumed to derive from commercial and recreational ship activity. No data on global recreational ship activity currently exist, and therefore we modelled this driver to oceans using a combination of the commercial shipping traffic data and port data. The shipping data provide an estimate of the occurrence of ships at a particular location, and therefore an estimate of the amount of pollution they produce (via fuel leaks, oil discharge, waste disposal, etc.) that is unique from their contribution to ship strikes, etc. described above. We recognize that ocean currents can disperse this pollution into untraveled regions, but small-scale oceanography is known for only a few select locations around the world, and pollutants are likely to be most concentrated in high traffic areas. The dispersal of port-derived pollution was modelled as a diffusive plume with a maximum distance of 100 km. These plumes were not clipped to shallow regions as was done for Invasive Species.Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

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    This data layer combines estimates of pollution coming from commercial shipping and from ports. As such, it is a combination of the shipping and port volume data layers, with the port volume data plumed to estimate pollution from commercial ports (with exponential decline in intensity from the port). Ocean-based pollution is assumed to derive from commercial and recreational ship activity. No data on global recreational ship activity currently exist, and therefore we modelled this driver to oceans using a combination of the commercial shipping traffic data and port data. The shipping data provide an estimate of the occurrence of ships at a particular location, and therefore an estimate of the amount of pollution they produce (via fuel leaks, oil discharge, waste disposal, etc.) that is unique from their contribution to ship strikes, etc. described above. We recognize that ocean currents can disperse this pollution into untraveled regions, but small-scale oceanography is known for only a few select locations around the world, and pollutants are likely to be most concentrated in high traffic areas. The dispersal of port-derived pollution was modelled as a diffusive plume with a maximum distance of 100 km. These plumes were not clipped to shallow regions as was done for Invasive Species.Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

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    Vessel identity and location information was obtained using two approaches. (1) Over the past 20 years, 10-20% of the vessel fleet has voluntarily participated in collecting meteorological data for the open ocean, which includes location at the time of measurement, as part of the Volunteer Observing System (VOS). (2) In order to improve maritime safety, in 2002 the International Maritime Organization SOLAS agreement required all vessels over 300 gross tonnage (GT) and vessels carrying passengers to equip Automatic Identification System (AIS) transceivers, which use the Global Positioning System (GPS) to precisely locate vessels. Eight broad classes of vessels were taken into account separately: authority, cargo, fishing, high-speed, passenger, pleasure, support, tanker and an ‘other’ class. The vessel classes which move globally (cargo, tanker, and passenger) are required to carry AIS transceivers, and in these three classes 60-70% of the total vessel fleet was observed using AIS. The resulting data layer is primarily composed of these vessel classes in both the AIS and VOS data sources, and is almost exclusively these ship types in the open ocean. We used a simple linear average of the two data sources, producing a final model resolved for the whole ocean at a resolution of 0.1 decimal degrees (~11km). Data have limited observation frequency, leading to gaps that when directly interpolated with geodesic paths, create invalid routes which cross land masses. Routing model was used to create a visibility graph of the oceans, creating valid potential movement paths. These movement paths are based on the assumption that mariners will prefer great circle distances when possible. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

  • This data layer shows the ocean-based pollution from stressor data after adjusting for habitat/pressure vulnerability. This data layer combines estimates of pollution coming from commercial shipping and from ports. As such, it is a combination of the shipping and port volume data layers, with the port volume data plumed to estimate pollution from commercial ports (with exponential decline in intensity from the port). Ocean-based pollution is assumed to derive from commercial and recreational ship activity. No data on global recreational ship activity currently exist, and therefore we modelled this driver to oceans using a combination of the commercial shipping traffic data and port data. The shipping data provide an estimate of the occurrence of ships at a particular location, and therefore an estimate of the amount of pollution they produce (via fuel leaks, oil discharge, waste disposal, etc.) that is unique from their contribution to ship strikes, etc. described above. We recognize that ocean currents can disperse this pollution into untraveled regions, but small-scale oceanography is known for only a few select locations around the world, and pollutants are likely to be most concentrated in high traffic areas. The dispersal of port-derived pollution was modelled as a diffusive plume with a maximum distance of 100 km. These plumes were not clipped to shallow regions as was done for Invasive Species. Pressure data was calculated for each stressor by: (1) multiplying the rescaled stressor (rescaled using only the 2013 data) by each habitat layer and the corresponding stressor/habitat vulnerability score (for each stressor this generates: 20 rasters); (2) summing the resulting stressor/habitat/vulnerability rasters (generates 1 raster for each stressor); (3) dividing by the number of habitats found in each raster cell layer. Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: pressure and cumulative impacts data (2013, all pressures). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F15718ZN.

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    Input data are from FAO statistics published in the time period 2003-2006. FAO data on annual country-level fertilizer were used were available, averaged over the time periods. Missing values were filled using a linear regression model of fertilizers as a function of pesticides (gaps: N=4; regression: R2 = 0.72) when pesticide data were available or agricultural GDP (gaps: N=22; regression: R2 = 0.62) when not. These country-level average fertilizer values were then dasymetrically distributed over a country’s landscape using global land cover data from 2005. Finally, spread of the driver values into coastal waters at each pour point was modelled with a cost-path surface on the basis of a decay function that assigns a fixed amount of the driver (0.5% of the value in the previous cell) in the initial cell and then evenly distributes the remaining amount of driver in all adjacent and ‘unvisited’ cells, repeated until a minimum threshold (0.05% of global maximum) is reached. This approach to modelling river plumes is diffusive and so allows drivers to wrap around headlands and islands. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."

  • Categories  

    Input data are from 2007-2010 FAO statistics, the most recent available. FAO data on annual country-level fertilizer were used were available, averaged over the time periods. Missing values were filled using a linear regression model of fertilizers as a function of pesticides (gaps: N=4; regression: R2 = 0.72) when pesticide data were available or agricultural GDP (gaps: N=22; regression: R2 = 0.62) when not. These country-level average fertilizer values were then dasymetrically distributed over a country’s landscape using global land cover data from 2009, derived from the Moderate Resolution imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument at ~500m resolution. Finally, spread of the driver values into coastal waters at each pour point was modelled with a cost-path surface on the basis of a decay function that assigns a fixed amount of the driver (0.5% of the value in the previous cell) in the initial cell and then evenly distributes the remaining amount of driver in all adjacent and ‘unvisited’ cells, repeated until a minimum threshold (0.05% of global maximum) is reached. This approach to modelling river plumes is diffusive and so allows drivers to wrap around headlands and islands. Raw stressor data from "Benjamin Halpern, Melanie Frazier, John Potapenko, Kenneth Casey, Kellee Koenig, et al. 2015. Cumulative human impacts: raw stressor data (2008 and 2013). Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity. doi:10.5063/F1S180FS."